(Bloomberg) — Chile’s central bank reduced its forecast for an economic contraction this year as early pension withdrawals, record-low interest rates and government handouts boost consumer spending.
Gross domestic product will shrink 4.5% to 5.5%, versus the previous forecast for a drop of 5.5% to 7.5%, according to the quarterly monetary policy report published Wednesday. Policy makers lifted their year-end inflation call to 2.4% while also forecasting shallower drops in investment and domestic demand.
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The central bank said a new law allowing citizens to tap part of their pension savings will amount to roughly 6% of GDP, of which half will be spent on consumption in 2020 and early 2021. Policy makers “describe this measure’s impact on domestic demand and activity as very significant in the short-term. For the long-term, it’s also important to note the need to consider